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Reports, Articles, Book chapters
Why the U.S. Must Win the Artificial Intelligence Race - 09 Feb 2022
An increasingly urgent debate rages over the “Artificial Intelligence Arms Race” and its rapid progression on the global scale. Among unanswered questions and particular interest to the United States (US) is where does the US stand in this race relative to China.
Published 11-24-22 - in Article View of The Cyber Defense Review
In Search of Security: Understanding the Motives behind Iran’s Cyber-Enabled Influence Campaigns - 4/6/22
Malign influence campaigns pose a clear and present danger to US national security. Beyond the most well-known threats - Russia, China, North Korea. Iran is employing operations in the information environment for their own malicious purposes.
The Taliban’s Exploitation of Afghan Information and Communications Systems - 7/15/22
The US and its Coalition partners brought modern communications infrastructure to Afghanistan, but information security was overlooked. This enabled the Taliban to exploit information systems for their insurgency, appeal to new audiences, and redefine their image.
Great Power Competition Series - Vol 4
Russia’s 2022 Cyber-Enabled Warfare Against Ukraine: Why Russia Failed to Perform to Expectations - 2/27/23
The security community was shocked as the presumed great cyber power, Russia, was unable to execute effective cyberspace operations at the outset of the Ukraine war in the spring of 2022, and then, throughout much of the rest of the year.
Halcyon Institute Reports
US – China: Geopolitical Rivalry and Technology War - 10/01/2022
The US and China are engaged in a geopolitical and technological rivalry. This rivalry is analogous of prior historical rivalries that have occurred between a dominant hegemonic nation and a rising challenger each with differing strategic objectives, policies, and geopolitical ambitions.
Halcyon Institute Report
War is What States Make of It: A Comparative Analysis of US & Chinese Conceptualizations of War - 10/18/22
The idea that war invariably involves a violent clash of arms is deeply embedded within American academic and military psyches. Does China hold a different conceptualization of war? If so, what are the implications this creates for US strategies and operations.
Halcyon Institute Report
Artificial Intelligence is Creating a Security Dilemma Among Global Powers - 12/22/22
The US, China, and other developed countries are engaged in science and technology rivalries with artificial intelligence (AI) as a primary catalyst. These growing rivalries are fast approaching an all-out
technology war and is the underlying cause behind recent trade conflicts.
Halcyon Institute Report
AI integration into the military's of the world’s major powers is escalating for economic and national security purposes. This also increases leadership distrust as to counterparts motives and creates a complex security dilemma and technology driven arms race.
Halcyon Institute Report
International Law and Cyber Technology:
Is it time for a new legal paradigm? - 5/10/23
Critical examination of the widely accepted contention that extant international law applies to cyberspace. Specially, an evaluation of how current interpretations of the principles on the use of force and nonintervention apply to the domain and whether this reflects state behaviors.
Halcyon Institute Report
Russia launched aggressive campaigns to influence the outcome of U.S. Presidential campaigns in favor of the Republican candidates. Elements of this campaign involved the same methods the Soviet Union employed during the Cold War, and scale was unprecedented.
Halcyon Institute Repor
U.S. and China Science and Technology Policies, Competitive Advantages, and Strategic Ambitions - 8/07/23
The US and China have vastly different strategic objectives when it comes to science and technology policy, but their policy ambitions are drawing each nation into a high technology rivalry and inevitable geopolitical conflict.
Halcyon Institute Report